Is Travis Kelce headed for a shocking decline? Analyst warns Chiefs star could become a non-…see more

Is Travis Kelce headed for a shocking decline? Analyst warns Chiefs star could become a non-factor this season
Yahoo Sports’ Frank Schwab says few tight ends remain productive past age 35.

Travis Kelce is an NFL anomaly. History-and some analysts-say the Kansas City Chiefs’ star tight end should be retired or on the downside of his performance curve by now. The question for head coach Andy Reid is whether Kelce can continue defying time at age 35, or if this season will mark his inevitable downturn.

The younger Kelce brother made his NFL debut 11 years ago after being picked by the Chiefs in the third round, 63rd overall. Since then, the University of Cincinnati product has been a key part of the team’s three Super Bowl wins in the past five years.

Kelce’s career, however, is a statistical outlier. According to the numbers, the vast majority of tight ends retire before age 34, and those who continue to play after that tend to no longer be significant factors for their teams.

There are only a few exceptions to this rule, which is precisely why they’ve become legends: Ben Watson, Shannon Sharpe, Antonio Gates, and Kelce’s predecessor with the Chiefs, Tony Gonzalez.

Is Kelce’s fate already sealed?
Yahoo Sports Senior Writer Frank Schwab noted that no tight end has surpassed 1,000 yards after turning 35 in the Super Bowl era. Gonzalez came the closest, totaling 900 yards at that age. Watson, Sharpe, and Gates barely surpassed 700 yards after 35.

With Kelce set to turn 35 this October, he could very well be the exception to the rule. After all, in the 2023 season, the Chiefs star fell just 16 yards short of the 1,000-yard mark.

At 34, Kelce caught 93 passes, scored five touchdowns, and racked up 984 yards. However, it’s worth noting that he sat out the final two games of the regular season at the behest of head coach Andy Reid, who preferred to preserve his star heading into the playoffs.

In the end, Reid’s strategy paid off, and Kelce was a crucial piece in the run that culminated in the victory at Super Bowl LVIII. Although Schwab advises against betting against Kelce for the 2024 season, he also warned, “Based on the history of NFL tight ends, he’s supposed to be retired or a non-factor by now.”